Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
5
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
1
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789411
Orioles · 9 H, 0 ESox · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jarren Duran pops out to second baseman Jackson Holliday.
bot 9Caleb Durbin pops out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
bot 9Masataka Yoshida flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
bot 9Willson Contreras hit by pitch.
top 9Christian Encarnacion-Strand pops out to second baseman Anthony Seigler.
top 9Colton Cowser strikes out swinging.
top 9Gunnar Henderson grounds out, second baseman Anthony Seigler to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 8Wilyer Abreu flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Beavers 2-4, 2 RBI · Johnathan Rodríguez 2-4, 1 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 1-3
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Andruw Monasterio 2-3 · Willson Contreras 1-2 · Anthony Seigler 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.