Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
4
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
6
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789311212
Jays · 9 H, 1 ESox · 12 H, 1 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Alejandro Kirk strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9George Springer flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
top 9Kazuma Okamoto strikes out swinging.
top 9Vladimir Guerrero Jr. walks.
bot 8Jahmai Jones strikes out swinging.
bot 8Adam Macko intentionally walks Willson Contreras. Ceddanne Rafaela to 2nd.
bot 8Wilyer Abreu pops out to second baseman Ernie Clement.
bot 8Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a ground ball to left fielder Yohendrick Piñango. Anthony Seigler to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kazuma Okamoto 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Daulton Varsho 3-4 · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 2-4
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Anthony Seigler 4-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ceddanne Rafaela 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jarren Duran 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.