Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
5
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
6
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 11 H, 4 ESox · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Tyler O'Neill lines out to shortstop Tsung-Che Cheng.
top 9Gunnar Henderson doubles (19) on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran. Colton Cowser to 3rd.
top 9Pete Alonso strikes out swinging.
top 9Taylor Ward strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Colton Cowser walks.
bot 8Jarren Duran strikes out swinging.
bot 8Caleb Durbin homers (10) on a fly ball to left center field.56
bot 8Masataka Yoshida strikes out on a foul tip.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 3-5 · Tyler O'Neill 2-5, 2 RBI
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 3-4, 2 RBI · Caleb Durbin 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Connor Wong 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.