Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
3
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
5
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678921311
Rays · 7 H, 0 ESox · 8 H, 2 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nick Fortes strikes out swinging.
top 9Ben Williamson pops out to first baseman Willson Contreras in foul territory.
top 9Jonny DeLuca strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Jarren Duran lines out sharply to left fielder Ryan Vilade.
bot 8Caleb Durbin grounds out, third baseman Junior Caminero to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Jahmai Jones grounds out to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 8Cedric Mullins strikes out swinging.
top 8Ryan Vilade grounds out, second baseman Anthony Seigler to first baseman Willson Contreras.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Junior Caminero 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jonny DeLuca 2-4, 2 RBI · Taylor Walls 1-3
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Wilyer Abreu 2-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Willson Contreras 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Caleb Durbin 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.