Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
1
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
6
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891132
Rays · 8 H, 2 ESox · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Junior Caminero lines out to left fielder Jarren Duran.
top 9Jonathan Aranda strikes out swinging.
top 9Yandy Díaz strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Hunter Feduccia walks. Taylor Walls to 2nd.
top 9Taylor Walls singles on a ground ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
bot 8Jarren Duran grounds out, pitcher Chris Roycroft to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 8Andruw Monasterio walks.
bot 8Romy Gonzalez grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Victor Mesa Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Chandler Simpson 2-4 · Taylor Walls 1-3
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ceddanne Rafaela 2-4 · Jahmai Jones 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.