Statball

← All live games · Fenway Park

Washington Nationals
10
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
2
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892532
Nationals · 13 H, 0 ESox · 9 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Willson Contreras pops out to second baseman Jorbit Vivas.
bot 9Wilyer Abreu strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ceddanne Rafaela doubles (19) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jacob Young. Connor Wong to 3rd.
bot 9Anthony Seigler flies out to center fielder Jacob Young.
bot 9Connor Wong singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Curtis Mead.
top 9Luis García Jr. grounds out, second baseman Anthony Seigler to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Curtis Mead singles on a ground ball to left fielder Nate Eaton. Nasim Nuñez out at home on the throw, left fielder Nate Eaton to catcher Connor Wong. James Wood to 2nd.
top 9James Wood walks. Nasim Nuñez to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Nasim Nuñez 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Andrés Chaparro 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Boston Red Sox
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 2-4 · Connor Wong 2-4 · Ceddanne Rafaela 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.