Statball

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Washington Nationals
3
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
6
100% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Nationals · 7 H, 0 ESox · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jorbit Vivas strikes out swinging.
top 9Luis García Jr. singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
top 9Daylen Lile pops out to third baseman Caleb Durbin in foul territory.
top 9Dylan Crews strikes out swinging.
bot 8Pitcher Zak Kent picks off Caleb Durbin at 1st on throw to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 8Caleb Durbin walks.
bot 8Jarren Duran strikes out swinging.
bot 8Andruw Monasterio flies out to center fielder Jacob Young.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
James Wood 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Curtis Mead 2-4 · CJ Abrams 1-4, 2 RBI
Boston Red Sox
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 1-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Caleb Durbin 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Anthony Seigler 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.