Statball

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Washington Nationals
8
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
1
0% — our call
Washington Nationalsgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Nationals. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891341
Nationals · 12 H, 1 ESox · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Andruw Monasterio lines out to third baseman Curtis Mead.
bot 9Wilyer Abreu singles on a fly ball to center fielder Dylan Crews, deflected by left fielder Daylen Lile.
bot 9Ceddanne Rafaela grounds out, third baseman Curtis Mead to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 9Anthony Seigler grounds out, second baseman Nasim Nuñez to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Dylan Crews grounds out, second baseman Anthony Seigler to first baseman Andruw Monasterio.
top 9CJ Abrams pops out to third baseman Caleb Durbin.
top 9Curtis Mead grounds out, second baseman Anthony Seigler to first baseman Andruw Monasterio.
bot 8Tsung-Che Cheng flies out to right fielder James Wood.

Context the model prices

Washington Nationals
5 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
CJ Abrams 1-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · James Wood 3-5, 2 RBI · Dylan Crews 2-5
Boston Red Sox
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Romy Gonzalez 1-3 · Anthony Seigler 1-4 · Wilyer Abreu 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.