Statball

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New York Yankees
1
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
6
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789112111
Yankees · 3 H, 0 ESox · 9 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9José Caballero flies out to left fielder Jarren Duran.
top 9Jasson Domínguez hits a ground-rule double (7) on a line drive down the right-field line.
top 9Cody Bellinger lines out to third baseman Caleb Durbin.
top 9Ben Rice grounds out, second baseman Anthony Seigler to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 8Tsung-Che Cheng flies out sharply to center fielder Spencer Jones.
bot 8Connor Wong singles on a ground ball to left fielder Cody Bellinger. Jarren Duran scores.16
bot 8Anthony Seigler grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt. Jarren Duran to 3rd.
bot 8Caleb Durbin strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 26 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Jones 1-3 · Jasson Domínguez 1-3 · Anthony Volpe 1-3
Boston Red Sox
12 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Caleb Durbin 2-4 · Anthony Seigler 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.