Statball

← All live games · Fenway Park

New York Yankees
4
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
5
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789102223
Yankees · 3 H, 1 ESox · 6 H, 2 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Jarren Duran singles on a line drive to center fielder Max Schuemann. Masataka Yoshida scores.45
bot 10Tsung-Che Cheng out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Andruw Monasterio scores. Masataka Yoshida to 3rd.44
bot 10Masataka Yoshida doubles (8) on a line drive to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Andruw Monasterio to 3rd.
bot 10Anthony Seigler singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Caleb Durbin scores.43
top 10Anthony Volpe grounds out, shortstop Tsung-Che Cheng to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 10José Caballero strikes out swinging.
top 10Oswaldo Cabrera out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Caleb Durbin to second baseman Anthony Seigler. Amed Rosario to 3rd.
top 10Amed Rosario singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Max Schuemann scores. Amed Rosario to 2nd. Amed Rosario advances to 2nd, on a throwing error by right fielder Wilyer Abreu.32

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Amed Rosario 2-3, 1 RBI · José Caballero 1-4 · Spencer Jones 0-3
Boston Red Sox
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 17 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 1-4 · Anthony Seigler 1-3, 1 RBI · Connor Wong 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.