Statball

← All live games · Fenway Park

New York Yankees
1
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
4
100% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891112
Yankees · 3 H, 0 ESox · 7 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jasson Domínguez pops out to first baseman Willson Contreras in foul territory.
top 9Cody Bellinger walks.
top 9Amed Rosario grounds out, shortstop Tsung-Che Cheng to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Ben Rice strikes out swinging.
bot 8Caleb Durbin grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 8Jarren Duran grounds out to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 8Willson Contreras grounds out, shortstop Anthony Volpe to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 8Paul Goldschmidt grounds out, shortstop Tsung-Che Cheng to first baseman Willson Contreras.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 23 batters faced over the last two days
Max Schuemann 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Amed Rosario 1-4 · Cody Bellinger 1-2
Boston Red Sox
12 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Masataka Yoshida 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Anthony Seigler 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ceddanne Rafaela 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.