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Toronto Blue Jays
4
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
3
0% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111112
Jays · 10 H, 0 ESox · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jarren Duran pops out to third baseman Kazuma Okamoto.
bot 9Willson Contreras grounds out, third baseman Kazuma Okamoto to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
bot 9Wilyer Abreu flies out to center fielder Myles Straw.
top 9Andrés Giménez pops out to second baseman Andruw Monasterio.
top 9Brandon Valenzuela doubles (6) on a fly ball to left fielder Jarren Duran. Ernie Clement scores.43
top 9Kazuma Okamoto strikes out swinging.
top 9Nathan Lukes bunt pops out to catcher Connor Wong in foul territory.
top 9Ernie Clement singles on a soft ground ball to pitcher Aroldis Chapman.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
11 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 52 batters faced over the last two days
Nathan Lukes 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Brandon Valenzuela 2-4, 1 RBI
Boston Red Sox
10 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Caleb Durbin 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Mickey Gasper 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.