Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
8
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
2
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 10 H, 0 ESox · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Caleb Durbin lines out to center fielder Leody Taveras.
bot 9Anthony Seigler strikes out swinging.
bot 9Isiah Kiner-Falefa grounds out softly to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 9Willson Contreras homers (12) on a fly ball to left field.82
top 9Colton Cowser singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Pete Alonso out at 3rd on the throw, right fielder Wilyer Abreu to third baseman Caleb Durbin.
top 9Leody Taveras pops out to third baseman Caleb Durbin.
top 9Samuel Basallo lines out sharply to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
top 9Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 33 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Ward 3-5, 1 RBI · Pete Alonso 2-4 · Samuel Basallo 1-4, 1 RBI
Boston Red Sox
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 27 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Connor Wong 1-3 · Wilyer Abreu 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.