Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
4
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
2
0% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Orioles · 9 H, 0 ESox · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Mickey Gasper flies out to right fielder Colton Cowser.
bot 9Masataka Yoshida strikes out swinging.
bot 9Willson Contreras strikes out swinging.
top 9Taylor Ward strikes out swinging.
top 9Blaze Alexander grounds into a force out, shortstop Marcelo Mayer to second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa. Leody Taveras out at 2nd. Blaze Alexander to 1st.
top 9Leody Taveras singles on a bunt ground ball to pitcher Tyler Samaniego.
top 9Colton Cowser strikes out swinging.
bot 8Wilyer Abreu grounds out to first baseman Pete Alonso.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 11 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Coby Mayo 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Samuel Basallo 1-4
Boston Red Sox
9 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 16 batters faced over the last two days
Ceddanne Rafaela 2-4 · Mickey Gasper 1-3 · Caleb Durbin 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.