Statball

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Baltimore Orioles
1
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
8
100% — our call
Baltimore Oriolesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Orioles. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891125
Orioles · 9 H, 0 ESox · 15 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Adley Rutschman lines out sharply to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
top 9Gunnar Henderson flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
top 9Taylor Ward flies out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
top 9Colton Cowser walks.
bot 8Mickey Gasper strikes out swinging.
bot 8Masataka Yoshida strikes out swinging.
bot 8Willson Contreras pops out to third baseman Coby Mayo in foul territory.
top 8Jackson Holliday grounds out to first baseman Willson Contreras.

Context the model prices

Baltimore Orioles
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 7 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Ward 3-4 · Adley Rutschman 2-5, 1 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 1-5
Boston Red Sox
10 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 14 batters faced over the last two days
Wilyer Abreu 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Willson Contreras 3-4 · Ceddanne Rafaela 3-5, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.