Statball

← All live games · Fenway Park

Atlanta Braves
0
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
8
100% — our call
Atlanta Bravesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Braves. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789611
Braves · 5 H, 3 ESox · 15 H, 1 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Chadwick Tromp lines out to third baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa.
top 9Ha-Seong Kim strikes out swinging.
top 9Jorge Mateo flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
bot 8Willson Contreras grounds out, third baseman Austin Riley to first baseman Matt Olson.
bot 8Wilyer Abreu grounds out, second baseman Ozzie Albies to first baseman Matt Olson.
bot 8Ceddanne Rafaela grounds out softly to first baseman Matt Olson.
bot 8Jarren Duran homers (8) on a fly ball to right field.08
top 8Michael Harris II lines out to second baseman Nick Sogard.

Context the model prices

Atlanta Braves
7 on the injured list · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Jorge Mateo 2-4 · Chadwick Tromp 1-4 · Mauricio Dubón 1-4
Boston Red Sox
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Jarren Duran 4-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ceddanne Rafaela 3-5, 2 RBI · Marcelo Mayer 2-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.