Statball

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Minnesota Twins
6
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
5
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 12 H, 1 ESox · 11 H, 1 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ceddanne Rafaela flies out to right fielder Austin Martin.
bot 9Jarren Duran hit by pitch.
bot 9Marcelo Mayer strikes out swinging.
bot 9Carlos Narváez walks.
bot 9Nick Sogard triples (1) on a line drive to right fielder Austin Martin.
top 9Orlando Arcia lines out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
top 9Victor Caratini walks. Trevor Larnach to 2nd.
top 9Kody Clemens lines out to left fielder Jarren Duran.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 37 batters faced over the last two days
Orlando Arcia 3-5 · Kody Clemens 2-5, 1 RBI · Brooks Lee 2-4, 2 RBI
Boston Red Sox
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 53 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Masataka Yoshida 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Wilyer Abreu 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.