Statball

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Minnesota Twins
4
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
2
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 12 H, 1 ESox · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Isiah Kiner-Falefa walks. Willson Contreras scores. Caleb Durbin to 3rd. Connor Wong to 2nd.42
bot 9Connor Wong walks.
bot 9Masataka Yoshida grounds into a force out, second baseman Orlando Arcia to shortstop Ryan Kreidler. Willson Contreras to 3rd. Ceddanne Rafaela out at 2nd. Masataka Yoshida to 1st.
bot 9Nick Sogard flies out to right fielder Austin Martin.
bot 9Ceddanne Rafaela walks. Willson Contreras to 2nd.
bot 9Willson Contreras singles on a line drive to left fielder James Outman.
top 9Josh Bell grounds out to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Austin Martin flies out sharply to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Trevor Larnach 4-5 · Brooks Lee 2-4 · Austin Martin 2-5, 1 RBI
Boston Red Sox
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 2-3 · Mickey Gasper 1-3 · Jarren Duran 1-5

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.