Statball

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Minnesota Twins
8
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
6
0% — our call
Minnesota Twinsgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Twins. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Twins · 10 H, 2 ESox · 7 H, 2 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Wilyer Abreu grounds into a double play, second baseman Luke Keaschall to shortstop Ryan Kreidler to first baseman Kody Clemens. Jarren Duran out at 2nd. Wilyer Abreu out at 1st.
bot 9Ceddanne Rafaela flies out to center fielder James Outman.
bot 9Jarren Duran strikes out swinging. Jarren Duran to 1st. Wild pitch by pitcher Anthony Banda.
top 9Luke Keaschall grounds into a force out, third baseman Nick Sogard to second baseman Marcelo Mayer. Trevor Larnach out at 2nd.
top 9Kody Clemens flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
top 9Ryan Kreidler strikes out swinging.
top 9Trevor Larnach walks. Brooks Lee scores. Austin Martin to 3rd. James Outman to 2nd.86
top 9James Outman hit by pitch. Brooks Lee to 3rd. Austin Martin to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Minnesota Twins
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Austin Martin 2-5, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Byron Buxton 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Ryan Kreidler 2-5, 1 RBI
Boston Red Sox
9 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Wilyer Abreu 2-5, 1 RBI · Nick Sogard 2-3 · Willson Contreras 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.