Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
1
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
3
100% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 3 H, 0 ESox · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Alec Bohm strikes out swinging.
top 9Trea Turner walks.
top 9Adolis García strikes out swinging.
top 9Bryce Harper strikes out swinging.
top 9Kyle Schwarber walks.
bot 8Willson Contreras grounds into a double play, shortstop Edmundo Sosa to second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper. Wilyer Abreu out at 2nd. Willson Contreras out at 1st.
bot 8Wilyer Abreu grounds into a force out, second baseman Bryson Stott to shortstop Edmundo Sosa. Isiah Kiner-Falefa out at 2nd. Wilyer Abreu to 1st.
bot 8Mickey Gasper singles on a fly ball to center fielder Justin Crawford.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 7 batters faced over the last two days
Justin Crawford 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Edmundo Sosa 1-3 · Alec Bohm 1-4
Boston Red Sox
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 30 batters faced over the last two days
Trevor Story 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Wilyer Abreu 3-4 · Ceddanne Rafaela 1-1, 1 HR, 2 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.