Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
2
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
1
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789111
Phillies · 5 H, 1 ESox · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Marcelo Mayer grounds out, second baseman Bryson Stott to first baseman Bryce Harper.
bot 9Ceddanne Rafaela strikes out swinging.
bot 9Trevor Story walks.
bot 9Masataka Yoshida singles on a ground ball to left fielder Brandon Marsh.
bot 9Wilyer Abreu strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Bryson Stott strikes out swinging.
top 9J.T. Realmuto grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Mickey Gasper.
top 9Brandon Marsh flies out to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 6 batters faced over the last two days
Kyle Schwarber 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Bryson Stott 2-4, 1 RBI · Brandon Marsh 1-4
Boston Red Sox
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Trevor Story 1-3 · Wilyer Abreu 1-4 · Mickey Gasper 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.