Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
4
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
1
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891211
Rays · 7 H, 0 ESox · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jarren Duran flies out to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
bot 9Ceddanne Rafaela strikes out swinging.
bot 9Marcelo Mayer walks.
bot 9Mickey Gasper doubles (2) on a fly ball to left fielder Chandler Simpson.
top 9Nick Fortes grounds into a double play, second baseman Marcelo Mayer to first baseman Andruw Monasterio. Jonny DeLuca out at 2nd. Nick Fortes out at 1st.
top 9Jonny DeLuca walks.
top 9Cedric Mullins flies out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
bot 8Trevor Story called out on strikes.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 13 batters faced over the last two days
Junior Caminero 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Ryan Vilade 1-2 · Jonathan Aranda 1-2
Boston Red Sox
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 6 batters faced over the last two days
Mickey Gasper 3-4, 1 RBI · Andruw Monasterio 2-3 · Trevor Story 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.