Statball

← All live games · Fenway Park

Tampa Bay Rays
0
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
10
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567892161
Rays · 3 H, 1 ESox · 15 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jonny DeLuca pops out softly to first baseman Romy Gonzalez in foul territory.
top 9Ryan Vilade singles on a ground ball to third baseman Caleb Durbin.
top 9Junior Caminero strikes out swinging.
top 9Jonathan Aranda lines out, pitcher Alec Gamboa to first baseman Romy Gonzalez.
bot 8Masataka Yoshida pops out to shortstop Taylor Walls.
bot 8Caleb Durbin singles on a ground ball to shortstop Taylor Walls. Wilyer Abreu to 2nd.
bot 8Wilyer Abreu singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jonny DeLuca.
bot 8Ceddanne Rafaela flies out to center fielder Jonny DeLuca.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Walls 1-3 · Ryan Vilade 1-4 · Junior Caminero 1-4
Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Carlos Narváez 3-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Masataka Yoshida 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Caleb Durbin 3-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.