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Tampa Bay Rays
8
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
4
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Rays · 13 H, 1 ESox · 7 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Marcelo Mayer grounds out, second baseman Ben Williamson to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 9Ceddanne Rafaela strikes out swinging.
bot 9Masataka Yoshida grounds out, first baseman Jonathan Aranda to pitcher Cole Sulser.
top 9Ben Williamson grounds into a force out, shortstop Trevor Story to second baseman Marcelo Mayer. Jonny DeLuca out at 2nd.
top 9Jonny DeLuca singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran.
top 9Jonathan Aranda grounds out, second baseman Marcelo Mayer to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Junior Caminero homers (10) on a line drive to center field. Richie Palacios scores.84
top 9Hunter Feduccia out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Caleb Durbin to second baseman Marcelo Mayer. Yandy Díaz to 3rd.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
6 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 24 batters faced over the last two days
Junior Caminero 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Chandler Simpson 2-2, 3 RBI · Jonny DeLuca 2-4
Boston Red Sox
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 43 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 1-4 · Connor Wong 1-3, 1 RBI · Trevor Story 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.