Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
0
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
2
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911
Rays · 4 H, 1 ESox · 5 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Jonny DeLuca strikes out swinging.
top 9Jonathan Aranda strikes out swinging.
top 9Junior Caminero grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Willson Contreras.
bot 8Marcelo Mayer strikes out swinging.
bot 8Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a ground ball to right fielder Ryan Vilade.
bot 8Trevor Story called out on strikes.
bot 8Masataka Yoshida grounds out to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 8Ryan Vilade pops out softly to catcher Carlos Narváez.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
5 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Nick Fortes 2-3 · Taylor Walls 1-3 · Jonathan Aranda 1-3
Boston Red Sox
7 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Ceddanne Rafaela 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Wilyer Abreu 1-2, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Jarren Duran 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.