Statball

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New York Yankees
4
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
2
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891311
Yankees · 10 H, 1 ESox · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Willson Contreras grounds out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to first baseman Ben Rice.
bot 9Masataka Yoshida pops out to first baseman Ben Rice.
bot 9Ceddanne Rafaela grounds out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to first baseman Ben Rice.
top 9Aaron Judge called out on strikes.
top 9Cody Bellinger flies out to left fielder Jarren Duran.
bot 8Jarren Duran strikes out swinging.
bot 8Carlos Narváez strikes out swinging.
bot 8Caleb Durbin grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Ben Rice.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · José Caballero 2-4 · Amed Rosario 1-3
Boston Red Sox
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Carlos Narváez 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Wilyer Abreu 1-2 · Jarren Duran 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.