Statball

← All live games · Fenway Park

Houston Astros
6
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
3
0% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678914112
Astros · 12 H, 0 ESox · 8 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Wilyer Abreu grounds out, third baseman Braden Shewmake to first baseman Isaac Paredes.
bot 9Roman Anthony grounds out, second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Isaac Paredes.
bot 9Willson Contreras flies out to center fielder Brice Matthews.
top 9Yainer Diaz grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Christian Walker hit by pitch.
top 9Isaac Paredes flies out to left fielder Roman Anthony.
bot 8Jarren Duran pops out to catcher Yainer Diaz in foul territory.
bot 8Caleb Durbin grounds out, third baseman Isaac Paredes to first baseman Christian Walker.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
14 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 43 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Walker 3-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Brice Matthews 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Dustin Harris 2-4
Boston Red Sox
5 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 18 batters faced over the last two days
Wilyer Abreu 2-3, 1 RBI · Roman Anthony 1-3 · Willson Contreras 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.