Statball

← All live games · Fenway Park

Houston Astros
1
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
3
100% — our call
Houston Astrosgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Astros. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678913
Astros · 11 H, 0 ESox · 10 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Yordan Alvarez grounds out, second baseman Marcelo Mayer to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Carlos Correa doubles (8) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
top 9Christian Vázquez grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Brice Matthews called out on strikes.
bot 8Marcelo Mayer flies out to left fielder Daniel Johnson.
bot 8Trevor Story singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Daniel Johnson.
bot 8Wilyer Abreu grounds into a double play, third baseman Isaac Paredes to shortstop Carlos Correa to first baseman Christian Walker. Roman Anthony out at 2nd. Wilyer Abreu out at 1st.
bot 8Roman Anthony singles on a line drive to right fielder Cam Smith.

Context the model prices

Houston Astros
14 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 36 batters faced over the last two days
Carlos Correa 3-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Isaac Paredes 2-3 · Yainer Diaz 2-4
Boston Red Sox
5 on the injured list (2 stars) · bullpen threw 19 batters faced over the last two days
Roman Anthony 3-4 · Jarren Duran 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Trevor Story 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.