Statball

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New York Yankees
4
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
0
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789121
Yankees · 10 H, 0 ESox · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jarren Duran strikes out swinging.
bot 9Ceddanne Rafaela singles on a soft ground ball to third baseman Ryan McMahon.
bot 9Trevor Story grounds out, third baseman Ryan McMahon to first baseman Ben Rice.
bot 9Wilyer Abreu grounds out, pitcher David Bednar to first baseman Ben Rice.
top 9Ben Rice called out on strikes.
top 9Aaron Judge walks. Austin Wells to 2nd.
top 9Ryan McMahon strikes out swinging.
top 9Austin Wells singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 8 batters faced over the last two days
Giancarlo Stanton 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Randal Grichuk 2-4, 1 RBI · Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2-4
Boston Red Sox
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Willson Contreras 1-4 · Carlos Narváez 1-3 · Ceddanne Rafaela 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.