Statball

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New York Yankees
4
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
1
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789311
Yankees · 6 H, 0 ESox · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Caleb Durbin grounds out, shortstop José Caballero to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
bot 9Jarren Duran singles on a ground ball to center fielder Trent Grisham. Trevor Story scores.41
bot 9Andruw Monasterio flies out to center fielder Trent Grisham.
bot 9Trevor Story singles on a line drive to right fielder Aaron Judge.
bot 9Wilyer Abreu grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Paul Goldschmidt.
top 9Jazz Chisholm Jr. pops out to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Trent Grisham flies out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
top 9Ryan McMahon strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
3 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Amed Rosario 1-1, 1 HR, 4 RBI · Giancarlo Stanton 2-4 · José Caballero 1-3
Boston Red Sox
4 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 46 batters faced over the last two days
Jarren Duran 3-4, 1 RBI · Trevor Story 1-4 · Wilyer Abreu 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.