Statball

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Detroit Tigers
4
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
1
0% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789131
Tigers · 8 H, 0 ESox · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Ceddanne Rafaela pops out to first baseman Spencer Torkelson in foul territory.
bot 9Wilyer Abreu lines out to left fielder Riley Greene.
bot 9Trevor Story grounds into a force out, shortstop Javier Báez to second baseman Gleyber Torres. Willson Contreras out at 2nd. Trevor Story to 1st.
bot 9Willson Contreras singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Riley Greene.
top 9Dillon Dingler flies out sharply to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
top 9Gleyber Torres singles on a line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu.
top 9Kevin McGonigle lines out sharply to shortstop Andruw Monasterio.
top 9Jake Rogers grounds out, second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa to first baseman Willson Contreras.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 28 batters faced over the last two days
Kerry Carpenter 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Kevin McGonigle 2-5, 1 RBI · Javier Báez 1-4
Boston Red Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 8 batters faced over the last two days
Roman Anthony 1-3 · Willson Contreras 1-4 · Wilyer Abreu 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.