Statball

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Detroit Tigers
6
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
8
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Tigers · 10 H, 1 ESox · 12 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Dillon Dingler grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Riley Greene doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Wilyer Abreu, deflected by center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela. Kevin McGonigle scores. Gleyber Torres scores.68
top 9Spencer Torkelson strikes out swinging.
top 9Gleyber Torres singles on a fly ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Hao-Yu Lee scores. Kevin McGonigle to 3rd.48
top 9Kevin McGonigle doubles (7) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Hao-Yu Lee to 3rd.
top 9Jake Rogers grounds out, third baseman Caleb Durbin to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 9Hao-Yu Lee doubles (1) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Roman Anthony.
bot 8Ceddanne Rafaela flies out to left fielder Riley Greene.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 22 batters faced over the last two days
Hao-Yu Lee 2-4, 1 RBI · Riley Greene 2-3, 2 RBI · Kevin McGonigle 2-5
Boston Red Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 35 batters faced over the last two days
Caleb Durbin 2-4 · Carlos Narváez 2-3, 1 RBI · Masataka Yoshida 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.