Statball

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Detroit Tigers
0
0% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
1
100% — our call
Detroit Tigersgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Tigers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789101
Tigers · 4 H, 1 ESox · 4 H, 0 E
100%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Masataka Yoshida singles on a ground ball to right fielder Wenceel Pérez. Jarren Duran scores. Marcelo Mayer to 2nd.01
bot 10Marcelo Mayer walks.
bot 10Ceddanne Rafaela strikes out swinging.
top 10Spencer Torkelson grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Willson Contreras.
top 10Wenceel Pérez strikes out swinging.
top 10Riley Greene flies out to right fielder Wilyer Abreu. Dillon Dingler to 3rd.
bot 9Jarren Duran grounds out, third baseman Hao-Yu Lee to first baseman Spencer Torkelson.
bot 9Trevor Story reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Hao-Yu Lee.

Context the model prices

Detroit Tigers
6 on the injured list · bullpen threw 29 batters faced over the last two days
Jahmai Jones 2-4 · Javier Báez 1-3 · Kevin McGonigle 1-4
Boston Red Sox
3 on the injured list · bullpen threw 15 batters faced over the last two days
Connor Wong 1-2 · Caleb Durbin 1-3 · Jarren Duran 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.