Statball

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San Diego Padres
3
100% — our call
Final
Boston Red Sox
2
0% — our call
San Diego Padresgame flow — win probabilityBoston Red Sox
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Sox in control. Red fill: Padres. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Padres · 7 H, 0 ESox · 8 H, 1 E
0%
Sox win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Sox win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Marcelo Mayer strikes out swinging.
bot 9Masataka Yoshida strikes out swinging.
bot 9Wilyer Abreu strikes out swinging.
top 9Miguel Andujar flies out to shortstop Trevor Story.
top 9Ramón Laureano singles on a line drive to left fielder Roman Anthony. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Ramón Laureano to 3rd. Ramón Laureano advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by left fielder Roman Anthony.32
top 9Fernando Tatis Jr. doubles (2) on a line drive to center fielder Ceddanne Rafaela.
top 9Nick Castellanos strikes out on a foul tip.
top 9Jake Cronenworth lines out sharply to shortstop Trevor Story.

Context the model prices

San Diego Padres
8 on the injured list (1 star) · bullpen threw 9 batters faced over the last two days
Miguel Andujar 3-5 · Freddy Fermin 1-3, 1 RBI · Ramón Laureano 1-4, 1 RBI
Boston Red Sox
4 on the injured list · bullpen threw 10 batters faced over the last two days
Roman Anthony 2-4 · Ceddanne Rafaela 2-3 · Willson Contreras 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.