Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
2
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
4
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 6 H, 0 EOrioles · 4 H, 1 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Myles Straw grounds out, third baseman Coby Mayo to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Charles McAdoo lines out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
top 9Davis Schneider homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Sean Keys scores.2–4
top 9Sean Keys singles on a line drive to right fielder Dylan Beavers.
top 9Kazuma Okamoto strikes out swinging.
bot 8Pete Alonso called out on strikes.
bot 8Dylan Beavers called out on strikes.
bot 8Yohel Pozo strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Davis Schneider 1-2, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Nathan Lukes 2-4 · Sean Keys 1-3
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 2-3, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Colton Cowser 1-3, 1 RBI · Coby Mayo 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.