Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
2
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
4
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 9 H, 1 EOrioles · 5 H, 1 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Nathan Lukes strikes out swinging.
top 9Ernie Clement flies out to right fielder Leody Taveras.
top 9Alejandro Kirk pops out to second baseman Jeremiah Jackson.
top 9Brandon Valenzuela singles on a sharp ground ball to right fielder Leody Taveras.
bot 8Colton Cowser pops out to third baseman Kazuma Okamoto in foul territory.
bot 8Christian Encarnacion-Strand pops out to first baseman Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in foul territory.
bot 8Coby Mayo pops out to second baseman Ernie Clement.
top 8Andrés Giménez flies out to left fielder Dylan Beavers.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ernie Clement 2-4 · Andrés Giménez 2-4 · Brandon Valenzuela 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jeremiah Jackson 1-3, 1 RBI · Leody Taveras 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.