Statball

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Toronto Blue Jays
3
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
4
100% — our call
Toronto Blue Jaysgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Jays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Jays · 6 H, 0 EOrioles · 6 H, 0 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Josh Smith flies out to left fielder Dylan Beavers.
top 9Kazuma Okamoto strikes out swinging.
top 9Sean Keys strikes out swinging.
bot 8Coby Mayo flies out to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson singles on a line drive to right fielder Nathan Lukes.
bot 8Pete Alonso homers (40) on a fly ball to left field. Christian Franklin scores.3–4
bot 8Dylan Beavers flies out to center fielder Myles Straw.
bot 8Jeremiah Jackson pops out to second baseman Ernie Clement.

Context the model prices

Toronto Blue Jays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
George Springer 2-4, 1 RBI · Andrés Giménez 1-3 · Nathan Lukes 1-3, 1 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 2-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI · Gunnar Henderson 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Christian Encarnacion-Strand 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.