Statball

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Milwaukee Brewers
1
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
0
0% — our call
Milwaukee Brewersgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Brewers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Brewers · 3 H, 0 EOrioles · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Rece Hinds called out on strikes.
bot 9Gunnar Henderson grounds out, pitcher Aaron Ashby to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.
bot 9Christian Encarnacion-Strand grounds out, third baseman Joey Ortiz to first baseman Andrew Vaughn.
top 9William Contreras grounds out softly, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Garrett Mitchell strikes out swinging.
top 9Jackson Chourio grounds out, third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8Pete Alonso lines out to right fielder Luis Lara.
bot 8Jeremiah Jackson grounds out softly, catcher William Contreras to first baseman Andrew Vaughn. Leody Taveras to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Joey Ortiz 1-3 · William Contreras 1-4 · Gary Sánchez 1-3, 1 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jeremiah Jackson 1-4 · Gunnar Henderson 1-4 · Leody Taveras 1-2

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.