Statball

← All live games · Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Milwaukee Brewers
6
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
5
0% — our call
Milwaukee Brewersgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Brewers. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891032132
Brewers · 10 H, 0 EOrioles · 12 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
—
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
—
our live number minus theirs
—
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 10Dylan Beavers flies out to shortstop Joey Ortiz.
bot 10Leody Taveras flies out to left fielder Jackson Chourio.
bot 10Jeremiah Jackson called out on strikes.
top 10Jackson Chourio grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 10David Hamilton called out on strikes. Sal Frelick steals (7) 2nd base.
top 10Sal Frelick singles on a ground ball to right fielder Heston Kjerstad. Joey Ortiz scores.6–5
top 10Garrett Mitchell out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Coby Mayo to second baseman Jeremiah Jackson. Joey Ortiz to 3rd.
bot 9Heston Kjerstad strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Milwaukee Brewers
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Jackson Chourio 2-5, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Brice Turang 2-5 · Cooper Pratt 1-3
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 3-5 · Pete Alonso 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Coby Mayo 3-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.