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Cleveland Guardians
9
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
5
0% — our call
Cleveland Guardiansgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Guardians. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Guardians · 12 H, 0 EOrioles · 6 H, 1 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jackson Holliday called out on strikes.
bot 9Leody Taveras strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Colton Cowser walks. Christian Encarnacion-Strand to 2nd.
bot 9Christian Encarnacion-Strand hit by pitch.
bot 9Dylan Beavers grounds out, second baseman Angel Genao to first baseman Nathaniel Lowe.
top 9Brayan Rocchio grounds into a force out, fielded by shortstop Jackson Holliday. Patrick Bailey out at 2nd.
top 9Petey Halpin flies out to left fielder Dylan Beavers.
top 9Patrick Bailey singles on a fly ball to center fielder Colton Cowser. Nathaniel Lowe to 2nd.

Context the model prices

Cleveland Guardians
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Travis Bazzana 1-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Patrick Bailey 2-4, 1 RBI · Brayan Rocchio 2-4, 2 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 2-4, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Jackson Holliday 2-5, 1 RBI · Leody Taveras 1-4, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.