Statball

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Boston Red Sox
3
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
1
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 4 H, 0 EOrioles · 5 H, 1 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Christian Encarnacion-Strand strikes out swinging.
bot 9Coby Mayo strikes out swinging.
bot 9Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jarren Duran.
bot 9Blaze Alexander flies out to left fielder Jarren Duran.
top 9Jahmai Jones strikes out swinging.
top 9Roman Anthony pops out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
top 9Eli White singles on a line drive to center fielder Colton Cowser.
top 9Andruw Monasterio strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Eli White 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Adley Rutschman 1-4 · Trevor Story 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 2-4 · Christian Encarnacion-Strand 1-4, 1 RBI · Coby Mayo 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.