Statball

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Boston Red Sox
5
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
0
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Sox · 9 H, 0 EOrioles · 5 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Dylan Beavers strikes out swinging.
bot 9Christian Encarnacion-Strand doubles (8) on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran.
bot 9Heston Kjerstad grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Mickey Gasper.
bot 9Samuel Basallo flies out to center fielder Eli White.
top 9Nick Sogard flies out to center fielder Leody Taveras.
top 9Trevor Story singles on a ground ball to left fielder Dylan Beavers, deflected by third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand.
top 9Wilyer Abreu strikes out swinging.
top 9Mickey Gasper flies out to right fielder Heston Kjerstad.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trevor Story 3-5 · Nick Sogard 2-4 · Connor Wong 1-4, 1 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Gunnar Henderson 1-2 · Dylan Beavers 1-4 · Heston Kjerstad 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.