Statball

← All live games · Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Boston Red Sox
6
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
5
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678911121122
Sox · 7 H, 0 EOrioles · 7 H, 1 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
—
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
—
our live number minus theirs
—
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Dylan Beavers strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 9Leody Taveras flies out to center fielder Eli White.
bot 9Christian Encarnacion-Strand homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field. Gunnar Henderson scores.6–5
bot 9Gunnar Henderson singles on a line drive to left fielder Jarren Duran.
bot 9Pete Alonso strikes out swinging.
top 9Andruw Monasterio grounds out sharply, third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Roman Anthony homers (3) on a fly ball to left center field.6–3
top 9Isiah Kiner-Falefa grounds out sharply, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Adley Rutschman 2-4, 2 HR, 2 RBI · Roman Anthony 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Nick Sogard 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Christian Encarnacion-Strand 2-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Pete Alonso 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Luis Robert Jr. 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.