Statball

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Boston Red Sox
1
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
0
0% — our call
Boston Red Soxgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Sox. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567891
Sox · 5 H, 0 EOrioles · 6 H, 2 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
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Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
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our live number minus theirs
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pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Christian Encarnacion-Strand lines out to shortstop Trevor Story.
bot 9Gunnar Henderson strikes out swinging.
bot 9Pete Alonso grounds out, shortstop Trevor Story to first baseman Nick Sogard.
top 9Mickey Gasper strikes out swinging.
top 9Roman Anthony grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Eli White strikes out swinging.
bot 8Luis Robert Jr. grounds into a double play, shortstop Trevor Story to second baseman Nick Sogard to first baseman Mickey Gasper. Blaze Alexander out at 2nd. Luis Robert Jr. out at 1st.
bot 8Samuel Basallo flies out to center fielder Eli White.

Context the model prices

Boston Red Sox
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Mickey Gasper 2-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Trevor Story 1-4 · Jarren Duran 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Blaze Alexander 3-4 · Gunnar Henderson 1-4 · Christian Encarnacion-Strand 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.