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Tampa Bay Rays
3
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
1
0% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

12345678931
Rays · 7 H, 1 EOrioles · 2 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Gunnar Henderson grounds out, second baseman Richie Palacios to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
bot 9Pete Alonso grounds out, second baseman Richie Palacios to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Leody Taveras to 3rd.
bot 9Jackson Holliday lines out to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
bot 9Leody Taveras reaches on a throwing error by third baseman Junior Caminero. Leody Taveras to 2nd.
bot 9Colton Cowser homers (12) on a fly ball to right field.31
top 9Taylor Walls grounds out, first baseman Pete Alonso to pitcher Cam Sanders.
top 9Richie Palacios flies out to right fielder Leody Taveras.
top 9Cedric Mullins flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Chandler Simpson 2-3, 1 RBI · Jonny DeLuca 1-4 · Liam Hicks 1-3
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Colton Cowser 2-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Samuel Basallo 0-3 · Gunnar Henderson 0-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.