Statball

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Tampa Bay Rays
3
0% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
5
100% — our call
Tampa Bay Raysgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Rays. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893113
Rays · 7 H, 1 EOrioles · 8 H, 0 E
100%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 9Cedric Mullins flies out to center fielder Colton Cowser.
top 9Jorge Mateo strikes out swinging.
top 9Chandler Simpson strikes out on a foul tip.
bot 8Tyler O'Neill grounds into a double play, third baseman Junior Caminero to second baseman Jorge Mateo to first baseman Jonathan Aranda. Gunnar Henderson out at 2nd. Tyler O'Neill out at 1st.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson singles on a line drive to center fielder Cedric Mullins.
bot 8Pete Alonso grounds out, shortstop Taylor Walls to first baseman Jonathan Aranda.
top 8Junior Caminero grounds out, second baseman Jackson Holliday to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 8Jonathan Aranda strikes out swinging.

Context the model prices

Tampa Bay Rays
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Kenny Piper 1-3, 1 HR, 2 RBI · Ryan Vilade 2-4 · Junior Caminero 2-4
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Pete Alonso 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Dylan Beavers 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Colton Cowser 2-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.