Statball

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New York Yankees
5
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
3
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Yankees · 10 H, 0 EOrioles · 6 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Jackson Holliday flies out to left fielder Heliot Ramos.
bot 9Christian Encarnacion-Strand strikes out swinging.
bot 9Colton Cowser grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Luis García Jr.
top 9Luis García Jr. strikes out swinging and Trent Grisham caught stealing 2nd, catcher Yohel Pozo to shortstop Gunnar Henderson to catcher Yohel Pozo.
top 9Ben Rice strikes out swinging.
top 9Trent Grisham walks.
bot 8Leody Taveras pops out to third baseman José Caballero.
bot 8Dylan Beavers walks. Samuel Basallo to 2nd.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Ben Rice 2-5, 1 HR, 1 RBI · George Lombard Jr. 2-3, 2 RBI · Heliot Ramos 1-3
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Beavers 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pete Alonso 1-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Leody Taveras 2-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.