Statball

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New York Yankees
6
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
1
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

1234567893211
Yankees · 11 H, 0 EOrioles · 4 H, 1 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Christian Encarnacion-Strand strikes out swinging.
bot 9Samuel Basallo flies out to right fielder Spencer Jones.
top 9Ben Rice grounds out, pitcher Albert Suárez to first baseman Pete Alonso.
top 9Trent Grisham flies out to shortstop Gunnar Henderson.
top 9José Caballero grounds out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Pete Alonso.
bot 8Pete Alonso grounds out softly, pitcher Ryan Yarbrough to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 8Jackson Holliday grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 8Carlos Narváez flies out to right fielder Spencer Jones.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Spencer Jones 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Luis García Jr. 3-4, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Heliot Ramos 1-4, 1 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Dylan Beavers 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Pete Alonso 2-4 · Gunnar Henderson 1-3

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.