Statball

← All live games · Oriole Park at Camden Yards

New York Yankees
3
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
1
0% — our call
New York Yankeesgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Yankees. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

123456789121
Yankees · 5 H, 1 EOrioles · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

bot 9Yohel Pozo grounds out, second baseman Jazz Chisholm Jr. to first baseman Luis García Jr.
bot 9Colton Cowser strikes out swinging.
bot 9Leody Taveras strikes out swinging.
top 9Ali Sánchez grounds out sharply, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to first baseman Coby Mayo.
top 9José Caballero called out on strikes.
top 9George Lombard Jr. grounds out, third baseman Christian Encarnacion-Strand to first baseman Coby Mayo.
bot 8Christian Encarnacion-Strand strikes out swinging.
bot 8Gunnar Henderson lines out to center fielder Trent Grisham.

Context the model prices

New York Yankees
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Trent Grisham 2-4, 1 HR, 3 RBI · George Lombard Jr. 2-4 · Spencer Jones 1-4
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Coby Mayo 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Leody Taveras 2-4 · Pete Alonso 1-4

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.