Statball

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Philadelphia Phillies
8
100% — our call
Final
Baltimore Orioles
0
0% — our call
Philadelphia Philliesgame flow — win probabilityBaltimore Orioles
100500startB1B2B3B4B5now
Statball’s live prediction, not a league stat. Dark fill: Orioles in control. Red fill: Phillies. The dot is right now — runners and outs included.

Runs by inning

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Phillies · 9 H, 0 EOrioles · 4 H, 0 E
0%
Orioles win — Statball prediction
Kalshi price of “Orioles win” — pays $1 if they do
our live number minus theirs
pregame pick

Latest plays

top 6Alec Bohm grounds into a force out, shortstop Gunnar Henderson to second baseman Jackson Holliday. Bryce Harper out at 2nd.
top 6Bryce Harper walks. Trea Turner to 2nd.
top 6Kyle Schwarber out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Dylan Beavers. Justin Crawford scores.80
top 6Trea Turner singles on a ground ball to shortstop Gunnar Henderson. Justin Crawford to 3rd.
top 6Bryan De La Cruz out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Colton Cowser. Bryson Stott scores.70
top 6Justin Crawford singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Beavers. J.T. Realmuto scores. Bryson Stott to 3rd. Justin Crawford to 2nd.60
top 6Bryson Stott walks. J.T. Realmuto to 2nd.
top 6J.T. Realmuto singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Beavers.

Context the model prices

Philadelphia Phillies
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Bryan De La Cruz 1-2, 1 HR, 3 RBI · Bryce Harper 1-3, 1 HR, 1 RBI · Justin Crawford 2-3, 2 RBI
Baltimore Orioles
0 on the injured list · bullpen threw 0 batters faced over the last two days
Taylor Ward 1-2 · Dylan Beavers 1-3 · Jake Rogers 1-1

Updates every minute while live. Every percentage on this page is a Statball prediction — our proprietary models price far more than the box score: team strength, starting pitchers, injuries, bullpen workload, lineups, and the live game state. Market price is the live Kalshi mid where an open market exists. Pregame picks and the season ledger live on Today’s Picks.